Blackouts
Abstract
I study breakdowns in retransmission consent negotiations between U.S. broadcast television stations and video distributors. Using a new dataset of blackout events, I document substantial variation in blackout duration and show that shorter disputes are associated with higher-stakes bargaining environments. I develop a structural model of bargaining under incomplete information, linking blackout duration to disagreement costs and uncertainty over surplus. Future counterfactuals will simulate the effects of broadcast station consolidation, such as the Nexstar-Tegna merger, and regulatory constraints on carriage negotiations.